UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan prediction
23:45, 15/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Red Bull Salzburg
22%
Draw
24%
AC Milan
53%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Red Bull Salzburg, negative favours AC Milan) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Red Bull Salzburg - AC Milan)-0.69
Expected total goals2.83
Expected goals Red Bull Salzburg / AC Milan1.07 / 1.76
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.8% / 45.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.8%
Over 2.5 goals 53.7%
Over 3.5 goals 31.4%
First half
First-half result (Red Bull Salzburg / draw / AC Milan)20.0% / 40.6% / 39.3%
A goal in the first half71.5%
Two or more in the first half36.8%
Half-time then full-time
AC Milan lead at half-time then AC Milan win33.3%
Level at half-time then AC Milan win17.5%
Level at half-time then draw14.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Red Bull Salzburg's side
Red Bull Salzburg −2.05.5%
Red Bull Salzburg −1.757.0%
Red Bull Salzburg −1.58.5%
Red Bull Salzburg −1.2512.0%
Red Bull Salzburg −1.015.5%
Red Bull Salzburg −0.7518.9%
Red Bull Salzburg −0.522.4%
Red Bull Salzburg −0.2528.5%
Red Bull Salzburg draw no bet (0.0)34.6%
Red Bull Salzburg +0.2540.7%
Red Bull Salzburg +0.546.8%
Red Bull Salzburg +0.7552.7%
Red Bull Salzburg +1.058.5%
Red Bull Salzburg +1.570.2%
Red Bull Salzburg +2.078.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Red Bull Salzburg win4.46
Draw4.10
AC Milan win1.88
Over 2.51.86
Under 2.52.16
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Red Bull Salzburg wins by more than 1 goals8%
AC Milan wins by more than 1 goals30%
Probability trajectory
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan injuries and suspensions
Red Bull Salzburg- S. DiabateOut · Thigh Injury
- J. OmoregieOut · Achilles Tendon Injury
AC Milan- A. SaelemaekersOut · Ankle Injury
- M. GabbiaDoubtful · Injury
Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan recent form
Red Bull SalzburgDLWWD| 10/10/2026 | @ Grazer AK | 0–0 |
| 02/10/2026 | FC BW Linz | 1–2 |
| 20/09/2026 | Sturm Graz | 3–0 |
| 17/09/2026 | @ Levski Sofia | 1–0 |
| 11/09/2026 | @ Ried | 1–1 |
AC MilanDWLDD| 11/10/2026 | @ Sassuolo | 1–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Lecce | 3–0 |
| 16/09/2026 | Benfica | 0–2 |
| 12/09/2026 | @ Lazio | 2–2 |
| 06/09/2026 | @ Juventus | 1–1 |
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan head to head
Last 2 meetings: Red Bull Salzburg won 0, drew 1, lost 1. Goals: 1–5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2022 | AC Milan | 4–0 | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 06/09/2022 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1–1 | AC Milan |
Match information
- Venue
- Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
- Round
- 2