Austrian Bundesliga

LASK Linz vs SV Ried prediction

4 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

LASK Linz vs SV Ried (Bundesliga), 15/08/2026, finished 4-1: LASK Linz won. Before the match Jarvis gave LASK Linz 68%, the draw 20% and SV Ried 13%; the actual result had a 68% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
LASK Linz
68%
Draw
20%
SV Ried
13%
Actual result: LASK Linz 4 – 1 SV Ried · LASK Linz winJarvis gave this outcome: 68% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours LASK Linz, negative favours SV Ried) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (LASK Linz - SV Ried)+1.35
Expected total goals3.11
Expected goals LASK Linz / SV Ried2.23 / 0.88
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.7% / 47.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.2%
Over 2.5 goals 60.1%
Over 3.5 goals 37.7%
First half
First-half result (LASK Linz / draw / SV Ried)49.6% / 36.7% / 13.7%
A goal in the first half74.7%
Two or more in the first half41.4%
Half-time then full-time
LASK Linz lead at half-time then LASK Linz win45.1%
Level at half-time then LASK Linz win19.9%
Level at half-time then draw11.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from LASK Linz's side
LASK Linz −2.034.4%
LASK Linz −1.7539.5%
LASK Linz −1.544.6%
LASK Linz −1.2550.3%
LASK Linz −1.056.1%
LASK Linz −0.7561.8%
LASK Linz −0.567.5%
LASK Linz −0.2572.4%
LASK Linz draw no bet (0.0)77.3%
LASK Linz +0.2582.2%
LASK Linz +0.587.1%
LASK Linz +0.7589.3%
LASK Linz +1.091.5%
LASK Linz +1.595.8%
LASK Linz +2.097.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
LASK Linz win1.48
Draw5.10
SV Ried win7.77
Over 2.51.66
Under 2.52.51

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
LASK Linz wins by more than 1 goals45%
SV Ried wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Sporting CP (away)Thu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Slovan BratislavaWed 04/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 15/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.