English Sky Bet Championship

Millwall vs Wrexham prediction

0 – 3
Full-time

Match summary

Millwall vs Wrexham (English Sky Bet Championship), 03/09/2026, finished 0-3: Wrexham won. Before the match Jarvis gave Millwall 41%, the draw 29% and Wrexham 29%; the actual result had a 29% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Millwall
41%
Draw
29%
Wrexham
29%
Actual result: Millwall 0 – 3 Wrexham · Wrexham winJarvis gave this outcome: 29%
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Millwall, negative favours Wrexham) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Millwall win2.42
Draw3.41
Wrexham win3.40
Over 2.52.22
Under 2.51.82

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Millwall's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
First half
First-half result (Millwall / draw / Wrexham)30.8% / 45.6% / 23.5%
A goal in the first half66.2%
Two or more in the first half31.6%
Half-time then full-time
Millwall lead at half-time then Millwall win24.7%
Level at half-time then draw18.7%
Wrexham lead at half-time then Wrexham win16.9%