Match summary
Mjallby vs Vasteras SK (Swedish Allsvenskan), 18/07/2026, finished 0-0: a draw.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Mjallby
55%
Draw
25%
Vasteras SK
20%
Actual result: Mjallby 0 – 0 Vasteras SK · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Mjallby, negative favours Vasteras SK) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Mjallby - Vasteras SK)+0.80
Expected total goals2.97
Expected goals Mjallby / Vasteras SK1.89 / 1.09
Both teams to score (yes / no)57.4% / 42.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.8%
Over 2.5 goals 57.1%
Over 3.5 goals 34.7%
First half
First-half result (Mjallby / draw / Vasteras SK)40.5% / 40.7% / 18.7%
A goal in the first half72.6%
Two or more in the first half39.9%
Half-time then full-time
Mjallby lead at half-time then Mjallby win34.9%
Level at half-time then Mjallby win18.0%
Level at half-time then draw14.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Mjallby's side
Mjallby −2.023.9%
Mjallby −1.7528.2%
Mjallby −1.532.5%
Mjallby −1.2538.1%
Mjallby −1.043.7%
Mjallby −0.7549.3%
Mjallby −0.554.9%
Mjallby −0.2561.0%
Mjallby draw no bet (0.0)67.2%
Mjallby +0.2573.4%
Mjallby +0.579.6%
Mjallby +0.7582.7%
Mjallby +1.085.8%
Mjallby +1.592.0%
Mjallby +2.094.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Mjallby win1.82
Draw4.05
Vasteras SK win4.89
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.52.33
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Mjallby wins by more than 1 goals32%
Vasteras SK wins by more than 1 goals8%