Danish Superliga

OB vs SonderjyskE prediction

OB
1 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

OB vs SonderjyskE (Danish Superliga), 04/08/2026, finished 1-0: OB won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
OB
42%
Draw
28%
SonderjyskE
31%
Actual result: OB 1 – 0 SonderjyskE · OB winJarvis gave this outcome: 42% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours OB, negative favours SonderjyskE) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (OB - SonderjyskE)+0.25
Expected total goals3.00
Expected goals OB / SonderjyskE1.62 / 1.37
Both teams to score (yes / no)61.6% / 38.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 81.7%
Over 2.5 goals 57.6%
Over 3.5 goals 35.2%
First half
First-half result (OB / draw / SonderjyskE)32.2% / 42.7% / 25.2%
A goal in the first half72.2%
Two or more in the first half40.8%
Half-time then full-time
OB lead at half-time then OB win25.6%
SonderjyskE lead at half-time then SonderjyskE win18.1%
Level at half-time then draw16.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from OB's side
OB −2.015.7%
OB −1.7519.0%
OB −1.522.3%
OB −1.2527.2%
OB −1.032.1%
OB −0.7536.9%
OB −0.541.8%
OB −0.2548.7%
OB draw no bet (0.0)55.6%
OB +0.2562.5%
OB +0.569.3%
OB +0.7573.4%
OB +1.077.4%
OB +1.585.5%
OB +2.090.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
OB win2.39
Draw3.64
SonderjyskE win3.26
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.36

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
OB wins by more than 1 goals22%
SonderjyskE wins by more than 1 goals14%

Probability trajectory · full match