Swedish Superettan

Osters vs Varbergs BoIS prediction

00:05, 28/07
GMT+7
Result not verified

Match summary

Osters vs Varbergs BoIS (Swedish Superettan), 28/07/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet. Before the match Jarvis gave Osters 31%, the draw 26% and Varbergs BoIS 43%.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Osters
31%
Draw
26%
Varbergs BoIS
43%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Osters, negative favours Varbergs BoIS) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Osters - Varbergs BoIS)-0.29
Expected total goals3.13
Expected goals Osters / Varbergs BoIS1.42 / 1.71
Both teams to score (yes / no)63.4% / 36.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.3%
Over 2.5 goals 60.5%
Over 3.5 goals 38.1%
First half
First-half result (Osters / draw / Varbergs BoIS)25.5% / 41.1% / 33.4%
A goal in the first half74.0%
Two or more in the first half42.6%
Half-time then full-time
Varbergs BoIS lead at half-time then Varbergs BoIS win26.5%
Osters lead at half-time then Osters win18.1%
Level at half-time then draw15.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Osters's side
Osters −2.09.9%
Osters −1.7512.2%
Osters −1.514.5%
Osters −1.2518.5%
Osters −1.022.6%
Osters −0.7526.6%
Osters −0.530.6%
Osters −0.2537.2%
Osters draw no bet (0.0)43.7%
Osters +0.2550.3%
Osters +0.556.8%
Osters +0.7561.7%
Osters +1.066.7%
Osters +1.576.5%
Osters +2.083.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Osters win3.27
Draw3.82
Varbergs BoIS win2.32
Over 2.51.65
Under 2.52.53

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Osters wins by more than 1 goals14%
Varbergs BoIS wins by more than 1 goals23%

Probability trajectory · full match