Match summary
Porto vs Torreense (Portuguese Super Cup), 02/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet. Before the match Jarvis gave Porto 83%, the draw 12% and Torreense 5%.
Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Porto
83%
Draw
12%
Torreense
5%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Porto, negative favours Torreense) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Porto - Torreense)+2.16
Expected total goals3.24
Expected goals Porto / Torreense2.70 / 0.54
Both teams to score (yes / no)38.6% / 61.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.1%
Over 2.5 goals 62.8%
Over 3.5 goals 40.6%
First half
First-half result (Porto / draw / Torreense)62.3% / 30.1% / 7.6%
A goal in the first half77.0%
Two or more in the first half42.5%
Half-time then full-time
Porto lead at half-time then Porto win59.7%
Level at half-time then Porto win20.5%
Level at half-time then draw7.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Porto's side
Porto −2.051.1%
Porto −1.7556.8%
Porto −1.562.4%
Porto −1.2567.6%
Porto −1.072.7%
Porto −0.7577.9%
Porto −0.583.0%
Porto −0.2585.9%
Porto draw no bet (0.0)88.8%
Porto +0.2591.7%
Porto +0.594.6%
Porto +0.7595.7%
Porto +1.096.8%
Porto +1.598.9%
Porto +2.099.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Porto win1.20
Draw8.63
Torreense win18.60
Over 2.51.59
Under 2.52.69
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Porto wins by more than 1 goals62%
Torreense wins by more than 1 goals1%