Austrian Bundesliga

Red Bull Salzburg vs Hartberg prediction

1 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Red Bull Salzburg vs Hartberg (Bundesliga), 02/08/2026, finished 1-0: Red Bull Salzburg won. Before the match Jarvis gave Red Bull Salzburg 74%, the draw 16% and Hartberg 10%; the actual result had a 74% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Red Bull Salzburg
74%
Draw
16%
Hartberg
10%
Actual result: Red Bull Salzburg 1 – 0 Hartberg · Red Bull Salzburg winJarvis gave this outcome: 74% ✓
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Red Bull Salzburg, negative favours Hartberg) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Red Bull Salzburg win1.35
Draw6.20
Hartberg win10.37
Over 2.51.62
Under 2.52.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Red Bull Salzburg's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
First half
First-half result (Red Bull Salzburg / draw / Hartberg)54.9% / 33.7% / 11.4%
A goal in the first half76.0%
Two or more in the first half41.9%
Half-time then full-time
Red Bull Salzburg lead at half-time then Red Bull Salzburg win51.0%
Level at half-time then Red Bull Salzburg win20.2%
Level at half-time then draw9.6%