Dutch Eredivisie

SC Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

1 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

SC Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam (Dutch Eredivisie), 15/08/2026, finished 1-3: Sparta Rotterdam won. Before the match Jarvis gave SC Telstar 42%, the draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 31%; the actual result had a 31% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

SC Telstar

42%

Draw

27%

Sparta Rotterdam

31%

Actual result: SC Telstar 1 – 3 Sparta Rotterdam · Sparta Rotterdam winJarvis gave this outcome: 31%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours SC Telstar, negative favours Sparta Rotterdam) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (SC Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam)+0.25

Expected total goals2.95

Expected goals SC Telstar / Sparta Rotterdam1.60 / 1.35

Both teams to score (yes / no)60.4% / 39.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 80.6%

Over 2.5 goals 56.5%

Over 3.5 goals 34.1%

First half

First-half result (SC Telstar / draw / Sparta Rotterdam)32.4% / 42.1% / 25.6%

A goal in the first half72.2%

Two or more in the first half39.6%

Half-time then full-time

SC Telstar lead at half-time then SC Telstar win25.6%

Sparta Rotterdam lead at half-time then Sparta Rotterdam win18.3%

Level at half-time then draw15.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from SC Telstar's side

SC Telstar −2.015.5%

SC Telstar −1.7518.7%

SC Telstar −1.522.0%

SC Telstar −1.2527.0%

SC Telstar −1.032.0%

SC Telstar −0.7537.0%

SC Telstar −0.542.0%

SC Telstar −0.2548.8%

SC Telstar draw no bet (0.0)55.5%

SC Telstar +0.2562.2%

SC Telstar +0.568.9%

SC Telstar +0.7573.1%

SC Telstar +1.077.3%

SC Telstar +1.585.7%

SC Telstar +2.090.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

SC Telstar win2.38

Draw3.72

Sparta Rotterdam win3.22

Over 2.51.77

Under 2.52.30

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

SC Telstar wins by more than 1 goals22%

Sparta Rotterdam wins by more than 1 goals14%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 15/08 (GMT+7)

Klaksvikar Itrottarfelag vs Lech Poznan02:00 · Europa League0–5

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.