Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Shamrock Rovers, negative favours Dundalk) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk)+0.88
Expected total goals2.88
Expected goals Shamrock Rovers / Dundalk1.88 / 1.00
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.7% / 45.3%
First half
First-half result (Shamrock Rovers / draw / Dundalk)41.6% / 41.1% / 17.3%
A goal in the first half71.5%
Two or more in the first half38.3%
Half-time then full-time
Shamrock Rovers lead at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win36.3%
Level at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win18.7%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Shamrock Rovers's side
Shamrock Rovers −2.025.0%
Shamrock Rovers −1.7529.4%
Shamrock Rovers −1.533.9%
Shamrock Rovers −1.2539.6%
Shamrock Rovers −1.045.3%
Shamrock Rovers −0.7551.1%
Shamrock Rovers −0.556.8%
Shamrock Rovers −0.2563.0%
Shamrock Rovers draw no bet (0.0)69.1%
Shamrock Rovers +0.2575.3%
Shamrock Rovers +0.581.4%
Shamrock Rovers +0.7584.3%
Shamrock Rovers +1.087.2%
Shamrock Rovers +1.593.1%
Shamrock Rovers +2.095.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Shamrock Rovers win1.76
Draw4.07
Dundalk win5.38
Over 2.51.82
Under 2.52.22
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
