Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
UniUniversitatea Craiova
60%
Actual result: Universitatea Craiova 1 – 1 Universitatea Cluj · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Universitatea Craiova, negative favours Universitatea Cluj) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Universitatea Craiova - Universitatea Cluj)+0.98
Expected total goals2.43
Expected goals Universitatea Craiova / Universitatea Cluj1.70 / 0.72
Both teams to score (yes / no)42.8% / 57.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.5%
Over 2.5 goals 43.7%
Over 3.5 goals 22.7%
First half
First-half result (Universitatea Craiova / draw / Universitatea Cluj)42.5% / 43.7% / 13.8%
A goal in the first half65.8%
Two or more in the first half30.4%
Half-time then full-time
Universitatea Craiova lead at half-time then Universitatea Craiova win38.1%
Level at half-time then Universitatea Craiova win20.5%
Level at half-time then draw16.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Universitatea Craiova's side
Universitatea Craiova −2.025.1%
Universitatea Craiova −1.7529.8%
Universitatea Craiova −1.534.6%
Universitatea Craiova −1.2541.0%
Universitatea Craiova −1.047.4%
Universitatea Craiova −0.7553.8%
Universitatea Craiova −0.560.2%
Universitatea Craiova −0.2566.5%
Universitatea Craiova draw no bet (0.0)72.8%
Universitatea Craiova +0.2579.0%
Universitatea Craiova +0.585.3%
Universitatea Craiova +0.7587.9%
Universitatea Craiova +1.090.5%
Universitatea Craiova +1.595.7%
Universitatea Craiova +2.097.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Universitatea Craiova win1.66
Draw3.98
Universitatea Cluj win6.81
Over 2.52.29
Under 2.51.78
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Universitatea Craiova wins by more than 1 goals35%
Universitatea Cluj wins by more than 1 goals4%
