Match summary
Valerenga vs Ham-Kam (Norwegian Eliteserien), 01/08/2026, finished 0-3: Ham-Kam won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Valerenga
62%
Draw
21%
Ham-Kam
18%
Actual result: Valerenga 0 – 3 Ham-Kam · Ham-Kam winJarvis gave this outcome: 18%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Valerenga, negative favours Ham-Kam) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Valerenga - Ham-Kam)+1.11
Expected total goals3.47
Expected goals Valerenga / Ham-Kam2.29 / 1.18
Both teams to score (yes / no)63.1% / 36.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.9%
Over 2.5 goals 67.4%
Over 3.5 goals 45.7%
First half
First-half result (Valerenga / draw / Ham-Kam)46.1% / 36.3% / 17.6%
A goal in the first half77.9%
Two or more in the first half47.4%
Half-time then full-time
Valerenga lead at half-time then Valerenga win40.5%
Level at half-time then Valerenga win18.2%
Level at half-time then draw11.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Valerenga's side
Valerenga −2.030.9%
Valerenga −1.7535.5%
Valerenga −1.540.1%
Valerenga −1.2545.5%
Valerenga −1.050.8%
Valerenga −0.7556.2%
Valerenga −0.561.5%
Valerenga −0.2566.7%
Valerenga draw no bet (0.0)71.9%
Valerenga +0.2577.1%
Valerenga +0.582.4%
Valerenga +0.7585.0%
Valerenga +1.087.7%
Valerenga +1.593.0%
Valerenga +2.095.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Valerenga win1.63
Draw4.80
Ham-Kam win5.67
Over 2.51.48
Under 2.53.07
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Valerenga wins by more than 1 goals40%
Ham-Kam wins by more than 1 goals7%