Swedish Allsvenskan

Vasteras SK vs Orgryte prediction

2 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Vasteras SK vs Orgryte (Swedish Allsvenskan), 25/07/2026, finished 2-0: Vasteras SK won. Before the match Jarvis gave Vasteras SK 60%, the draw 22% and Orgryte 18%; the actual result had a 60% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Vasteras SK

60%

Draw

22%

Orgryte

18%

Actual result: Vasteras SK 2 – 0 Orgryte · Vasteras SK winJarvis gave this outcome: 60% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Vasteras SK, negative favours Orgryte) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Vasteras SK - Orgryte)+1.04

Expected total goals3.18

Expected goals Vasteras SK / Orgryte2.11 / 1.07

Both teams to score (yes / no)58.5% / 41.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 83.4%

Over 2.5 goals 61.5%

Over 3.5 goals 39.2%

First half

First-half result (Vasteras SK / draw / Orgryte)44.7% / 38.2% / 17.1%

A goal in the first half75.0%

Two or more in the first half42.8%

Half-time then full-time

Vasteras SK lead at half-time then Vasteras SK win39.3%

Level at half-time then Vasteras SK win18.6%

Level at half-time then draw12.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Vasteras SK's side

Vasteras SK −2.028.7%

Vasteras SK −1.7533.4%

Vasteras SK −1.538.0%

Vasteras SK −1.2543.6%

Vasteras SK −1.049.2%

Vasteras SK −0.7554.7%

Vasteras SK −0.560.3%

Vasteras SK −0.2565.9%

Vasteras SK draw no bet (0.0)71.4%

Vasteras SK +0.2576.9%

Vasteras SK +0.582.5%

Vasteras SK +0.7585.2%

Vasteras SK +1.087.9%

Vasteras SK +1.593.4%

Vasteras SK +2.095.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Vasteras SK win1.66

Draw4.52

Orgryte win5.70

Over 2.51.63

Under 2.52.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Vasteras SK wins by more than 1 goals38%

Orgryte wins by more than 1 goals7%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match