Match summary
Viborg vs AGF (Danish Superliga), 15/08/2026, finished 2-1: Viborg won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Viborg
45%
Draw
27%
AGF
28%
Actual result: Viborg 2 – 1 AGF · Viborg winJarvis gave this outcome: 45% ✓
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Viborg, negative favours AGF) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Supremacy (Viborg - AGF)+0.40
Expected total goals2.99
Expected goals Viborg / AGF1.70 / 1.30
Market-standard price (decimal)
Viborg win2.21
Draw3.67
AGF win3.63
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.35
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 2.5 goals57.5%
Over 3.5 goals35.1%
Over 1.5 goals81.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Viborg's side
Viborg −0.2552.0%
Viborg −0.545.2%
Viborg draw no bet (0.0)58.8%
Viborg −0.7540.1%
Viborg −1.035.0%
Viborg +0.2565.6%
Viborg −1.2530.0%
Viborg +0.572.4%
Viborg −1.524.9%
Viborg +0.7576.2%
Viborg −1.7521.4%
Viborg +1.080.0%
Viborg −2.017.8%
Viborg +1.587.5%
Viborg +2.091.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Goal margin
Viborg wins by more than 1 goals25%
AGF wins by more than 1 goals13%
Both teams to score (yes / no)61.1% / 38.9%
First half
First-half result (Viborg / draw / AGF)34.2% / 42.6% / 23.2%
A goal in the first half72.2%
Two or more in the first half40.8%
Half-time then full-time
Viborg lead at half-time then Viborg win27.9%
Level at half-time then draw16.3%
AGF lead at half-time then AGF win16.1%
Other matches on 15/08 (GMT+7)
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.