Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
West Brom
57%
Charlton
18%
Actual result: West Brom 1 – 1 Charlton · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours West Brom, negative favours Charlton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (West Brom - Charlton)+0.88
Expected total goals2.69
Expected goals West Brom / Charlton1.79 / 0.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.6% / 49.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 76.0%
Over 2.5 goals 50.5%
Over 3.5 goals 28.5%
First half
First-half result (West Brom / draw / Charlton)41.5% / 42.0% / 16.5%
A goal in the first half69.4%
Two or more in the first half35.1%
Half-time then full-time
West Brom lead at half-time then West Brom win36.3%
Level at half-time then West Brom win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw15.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from West Brom's side
West Brom −2.024.3%
West Brom −1.7528.8%
West Brom −1.533.3%
West Brom −1.2539.3%
West Brom −1.045.3%
West Brom −0.7551.3%
West Brom −0.557.3%
West Brom −0.2563.5%
West Brom draw no bet (0.0)69.8%
West Brom +0.2576.0%
West Brom +0.582.2%
West Brom +0.7585.1%
West Brom +1.088.0%
West Brom +1.593.9%
West Brom +2.096.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
West Brom win1.75
Draw4.01
Charlton win5.62
Over 2.51.98
Under 2.52.02
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
West Brom wins by more than 1 goals33%
Charlton wins by more than 1 goals6%
