Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Wolves
63%
Blackburn
13%
Actual result: Wolves 2 – 2 Blackburn · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 23%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Wolves, negative favours Blackburn) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Wolves - Blackburn)+1.14
Expected total goals2.67
Expected goals Wolves / Blackburn1.91 / 0.77
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.5% / 53.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 goals 49.9%
Over 3.5 goals 28.0%
First half
First-half result (Wolves / draw / Blackburn)45.4% / 41.3% / 13.3%
A goal in the first half69.1%
Two or more in the first half34.6%
Half-time then full-time
Wolves lead at half-time then Wolves win41.1%
Level at half-time then Wolves win20.6%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Wolves's side
Wolves −2.029.0%
Wolves −1.7533.9%
Wolves −1.538.9%
Wolves −1.2545.0%
Wolves −1.051.2%
Wolves −0.7557.3%
Wolves −0.563.4%
Wolves −0.2569.2%
Wolves draw no bet (0.0)75.0%
Wolves +0.2580.8%
Wolves +0.586.6%
Wolves +0.7588.9%
Wolves +1.091.3%
Wolves +1.595.9%
Wolves +2.097.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Wolves win1.58
Draw4.31
Blackburn win7.48
Over 2.52.00
Under 2.52.00
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Wolves wins by more than 1 goals39%
Blackburn wins by more than 1 goals4%
Corners
Expected total corners10.0
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards2.5
2.5+ cards in the match45%
