English Football League Cup

Wolves vs Port Vale prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Wolves vs Port Vale (English Football League Cup), 08/08/2026, finished 3-0: Wolves won. Before the match Jarvis gave Wolves 80%, the draw 13% and Port Vale 7%; the actual result had a 80% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Wolves

80%

Draw

13%

Port Vale

Actual result: Wolves 3 – 0 Port Vale · Wolves winJarvis gave this outcome: 80% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Wolves, negative favours Port Vale) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Wolves - Port Vale)+1.97

Expected total goals3.27

Expected goals Wolves / Port Vale2.62 / 0.65

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.1% / 55.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 83.6%

Over 2.5 goals 63.4%

Over 3.5 goals 41.2%

First half

First-half result (Wolves / draw / Port Vale)59.4% / 31.3% / 9.3%

A goal in the first half77.1%

Two or more in the first half43.1%

Half-time then full-time

Wolves lead at half-time then Wolves win56.2%

Level at half-time then Wolves win20.3%

Level at half-time then draw8.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Wolves's side

Wolves −2.047.1%

Wolves −1.7552.6%

Wolves −1.558.2%

Wolves −1.2563.5%

Wolves −1.068.9%

Wolves −0.7574.2%

Wolves −0.579.6%

Wolves −0.2582.9%

Wolves draw no bet (0.0)86.3%

Wolves +0.2589.6%

Wolves +0.593.0%

Wolves +0.7594.3%

Wolves +1.095.6%

Wolves +1.598.3%

Wolves +2.099.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Wolves win1.26

Draw7.46

Port Vale win14.20

Over 2.51.58

Under 2.52.73

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Wolves wins by more than 1 goals58%

Port Vale wins by more than 1 goals2%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match