Polish Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice prediction

00:00, 28/07

GMT+7

Result not verified

Match summary

Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice (Polish Ekstraklasa), 28/07/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Zaglebie Lubin

34%

Draw

31%

Piast Gliwice

35%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Zaglebie Lubin, negative favours Piast Gliwice) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Zaglebie Lubin - Piast Gliwice)-0.03

Expected total goals2.48

Expected goals Zaglebie Lubin / Piast Gliwice1.22 / 1.25

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.4% / 47.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 72.8%

Over 2.5 goals 45.0%

Over 3.5 goals 23.7%

First half

First-half result (Zaglebie Lubin / draw / Piast Gliwice)26.0% / 47.0% / 26.9%

A goal in the first half65.6%

Two or more in the first half32.2%

Half-time then full-time

Piast Gliwice lead at half-time then Piast Gliwice win20.8%

Level at half-time then draw20.1%

Zaglebie Lubin lead at half-time then Zaglebie Lubin win19.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Zaglebie Lubin's side

Zaglebie Lubin −2.010.1%

Zaglebie Lubin −1.7512.7%

Zaglebie Lubin −1.515.2%

Zaglebie Lubin −1.2519.8%

Zaglebie Lubin −1.024.4%

Zaglebie Lubin −0.7529.0%

Zaglebie Lubin −0.533.6%

Zaglebie Lubin −0.2541.5%

Zaglebie Lubin draw no bet (0.0)49.3%

Zaglebie Lubin +0.2557.1%

Zaglebie Lubin +0.564.9%

Zaglebie Lubin +0.7569.6%

Zaglebie Lubin +1.074.3%

Zaglebie Lubin +1.583.8%

Zaglebie Lubin +2.089.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Zaglebie Lubin win2.97

Draw3.20

Piast Gliwice win2.85

Over 2.52.22

Under 2.51.82

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Zaglebie Lubin wins by more than 1 goals15%

Piast Gliwice wins by more than 1 goals16%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match