Colombia 0–0 Portugal: how the Jarvis supercomputer's prediction held up
Nhipbong Analytics
Jarvis prediction desk
Colombia and Portugal walked off the pitch at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami with a 0–0 draw in Group K of the 2026 World Cup on June 27, an outcome the Jarvis supercomputer model rated at just 24.3% before kickoff. The goalless stalemate leaves both heavyweights inching forward together in a group that also features DR Congo and debutants Uzbekistan.
- Final result: Colombia 0–0 Portugal, Group K of the 2026 World Cup, Hard Rock Stadium (Miami), June 27.
- Jarvis pre-match prediction: Portugal to win 51.2%, draw 24.3%, Colombia to win 24.6%. The draw means the 1X2 call missed.
- No goals were scored; Camilo Vargas and Diogo Costa both kept clean sheets.
- Colombia fielded their full attacking trio of Luis Diaz, James Rodriguez and Jhon Cordoba from the start.
- Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes and Joao Felix all started, yet Portugal are still without a win at the 2026 World Cup after their earlier 1–1 draw with DR Congo.
- Each side picked up 1 point in Group K, where DR Congo and Uzbekistan are still in the mix.
| Outcome | Colombia | Draw | Portugal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis probability | 24.6% | 24.3% | 51.2% |
| Metric | Jarvis forecast |
|---|---|
| Expected total goals | 2.5 |
| Predicted score | 0–2 |
| Chance of 3+ goals | 45.6% |
Head to head: Jarvis prediction vs the actual result
| Category | Prediction (pre-match) | Actual | Correct? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | Portugal (51.2%) | Draw (0–0) | ✗ Off |
| Predicted score | 0–2 | 0–0 | ✗ Off |
| Expected goals | 2.5 goals | 0 goals | ✗ Off |
| Chance of 3+ goals | 45.6% | no | ✓ Right |
Overview: a goalless draw in Miami
One of the most anticipated Group K clashes, Colombia against Portugal on the evening of June 27 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, ended 0–0. Both national teams boast star-studded attacks, from Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez for Colombia to Cristiano Ronaldo and Joao Felix for Portugal, yet the scoreboard never once ticked over across the whole match.
Before kickoff, the Jarvis supercomputer model rated Portugal clear favourites: a 51.2% chance of winning, against 24.6% for Colombia and 24.3% for the draw. Jarvis noted the European side's squad depth and technical quality in midfield, even though they had just disappointed with a 1–1 draw against DR Congo on matchday one, a game in which Ronaldo was subdued.
On the other side, Jarvis also flagged Colombia's strong recent form, a dangerous attack and a home-crowd edge, with the South American fan community in South Florida turning Miami into something close to a home ground. Those factors kept the draw scenario alive in the model's calculations all along, and that is exactly how it played out.
How it unfolded: two defences on top, two clean sheets
No goals were scored, and that was the story of all 90 minutes: two defensive units ran more smoothly than two attacks. For Colombia, the framework of Davinson Sanchez, Jhon Lucumi, Santiago Arias, Deiver Machado and Gustavo Puerta in front of goalkeeper Camilo Vargas shut down Portugal's dream attacking line, where Ronaldo, Joao Felix and Pedro Neto all started.
Portugal answered with their familiar solidity: Ruben Dias marshalled the back line alongside Renato Veiga, Joao Cancelo and Nuno Mendes, with the double shield of Ruben Neves and Vitinha in midfield ahead of them. Luis Diaz, James Rodriguez and centre-forward Jhon Cordoba could not beat Diogo Costa even once. The result was that both Vargas and Costa left the pitch with their nets intact, and the two teams shared a point apiece.
Against the Jarvis prediction: wrong on the result, right on the balance
Judged purely on 1X2, Jarvis did not land it this time: the model placed its greatest faith in a Portugal win (51.2%), while the real outcome was the draw that Jarvis rated at only 24.3%. This is the familiar reminder that the highest probability does not mean certainty, especially at a World Cup where the gap in quality keeps narrowing.
Even so, a close reading of the Jarvis numbers shows the model never took Colombia lightly. Adding Colombia's win probability (24.6%) to the draw (24.3%), Jarvis assigned nearly 49% to the scenario of Portugal not winning, meaning the model saw this as a very even matchup rather than a one-way story. The context of Portugal drawing with DR Congo, with a Ronaldo yet to hit his peak, was also reflected in the pre-match assessment.
In other words, Jarvis missed on picking the exact result but was right on the nature of the contest: a Colombia side capable of going toe to toe, and a Portugal side still searching for its sharpness. The 0–0 draw fell neatly inside the competitive band of scenarios the model had mapped out.
Starting lineups for both teams
Colombia started with goalkeeper Camilo Vargas (12); a defence of Jhon Lucumi (3), Santiago Arias (4), Gustavo Puerta (14), Deiver Machado (22) and Davinson Sanchez (23); a midfield of James Rodriguez (10), Jhon Arias (11) and Jefferson Lerma (16); and up front Luis Diaz (7) alongside Jhon Cordoba (9).
Portugal unveiled a first-choice lineup with Diogo Costa (1) in goal; a back four of Ruben Dias (3), Renato Veiga (13), Joao Cancelo (20) and Nuno Mendes (25); a midfield of Bruno Fernandes (8), Ruben Neves (21) and Vitinha (23); and up top Cristiano Ronaldo (7), Joao Felix (11) and Pedro Neto (18).
You can find more standout fixtures in our daily predictions hub.
Bottom line: a point each, Group K still simmering
The 0–0 draw earns each side 1 point but settles nothing in Group K, where DR Congo and debutants Uzbekistan still have a chance to spring a surprise. For Portugal, two matches without a win plus an attack silenced by Colombia is a worrying sign for the team Jarvis rated as favourites; for Colombia, a clean sheet against a lineup of European stars is a result to be commended in terms of organisation.
As for the model, this was a match where Jarvis missed on the 1X2 output, yet the pre-match probabilities still honestly reflected how unpredictable the tie was. Nhipbong will keep updating the Jarvis predictions for the remaining Group K fixtures, where the picture is now tenser than ever.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Colombia vs Portugal?
The final score was Colombia 0–0 Portugal. The teams shared the points.
Did the Jarvis supercomputer model predict this match correctly?
Before kick-off, Jarvis called a 0–2 scoreline and predicted Portugal to win at 51.2%. The actual result was 0–0, which differed from the prediction.
How many goals were scored in Colombia vs Portugal?
0 goals in total. Jarvis had expected around 2,5 goals before the match.
Who scored in this match?
No goals were scored (0–0).