FIFA World Cup
Colombia vs Portugal prediction
Colombia
0 – 0
Full-time
Portugal
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Colombia
25%
Draw
24%
Portugal
51%
Actual result: Colombia 0 – 0 Portugal · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 24%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Colombia, negative favours Portugal) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Colombia - Portugal)-0.57
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Colombia / Portugal0.97 / 1.53
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.9% / 52.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.6%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Colombia / draw / Portugal)20.9% / 41.8% / 37.3%
A goal in the first half68.1%
Two or more in the first half30.4%
Half-time then full-time
Portugal ahead then Portugal win31.0%
level then Portugal win17.2%
level then draw15.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Colombia
Colombia give 2 trái (−2.0)5.3%
Colombia give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)6.8%
Colombia give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)8.4%
Colombia give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)12.4%
Colombia give 1 trái (−1.0)16.5%
Colombia give 3/4 trái (−0.75)20.5%
Colombia give nửa trái (−0.5)24.6%
Colombia give 1/4 trái (−0.25)30.6%
Level ball (0.0)36.7%
Colombia receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)42.8%
Colombia receive nửa trái (+0.5)48.8%
Colombia receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)55.1%
Colombia receive 1 trái (+1.0)61.5%
Colombia receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)74.1%
Colombia receive 2 trái (+2.0)81.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Colombia win4.07
Draw4.12
Portugal win1.95
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–1
13.3%
1–1
11.5%
0–2
9.6%
1–2
9.3%
1–0
8.7%
0–0
7.5%
Goal margin
Colombia wins by more than 1 goals8%
Portugal wins by more than 1 goals26%