FIFA World Cup
Algeria vs Austria prediction
Algeria
3 – 3
Full-time
Austria
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Algeria
23%
Draw
44%
Austria
33%
Actual result: Algeria 3 – 3 Austria · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 44% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Algeria, negative favours Austria) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Algeria - Austria)-0.17
Expected total goals1.31
Expected goals Algeria / Austria0.57 / 0.74
Both teams to score (yes / no)25.0% / 75.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 39.9%
Over 2.5 goals 14.5%
Over 3.5 goals 4.4%
First half
First-half result (Algeria / draw / Austria)15.9% / 62.2% / 21.9%
A goal in the first half43.6%
Two or more in the first half12.8%
Half-time then full-time
level then draw35.8%
Austria ahead then Austria win18.6%
level then Austria win15.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Algeria
Algeria give 2 trái (−2.0)3.6%
Algeria give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)4.8%
Algeria give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)6.1%
Algeria give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)10.2%
Algeria give 1 trái (−1.0)14.3%
Algeria give 3/4 trái (−0.75)18.5%
Algeria give nửa trái (−0.5)22.6%
Algeria give 1/4 trái (−0.25)33.6%
Level ball (0.0)44.7%
Algeria receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)55.7%
Algeria receive nửa trái (+0.5)66.8%
Algeria receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)72.3%
Algeria receive 1 trái (+1.0)77.9%
Algeria receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)89.0%
Algeria receive 2 trái (+2.0)93.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Algeria win4.43
Draw2.26
Austria win3.01
Over 2.56.89
Under 2.51.17
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–0
29.3%
0–1
17.7%
1–1
13.6%
1–0
13.1%
0–2
7.4%
2–0
4.4%
Goal margin
Algeria wins by more than 1 goals6%
Austria wins by more than 1 goals11%