Match summary
Jordan vs Argentina (World Cup), 28/06/2026, finished 1-3: Argentina won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Jordan
6%
Draw
11%
Argentina
83%
Actual result: Jordan 1 – 3 Argentina · Argentina winJarvis gave this outcome: 83% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Jordan, negative favours Argentina) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Jordan - Argentina)-2.04
Expected total goals2.90
Expected goals Jordan / Argentina0.43 / 2.47
Both teams to score (yes / no)30.7% / 69.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.3%
Over 2.5 goals 55.3%
Over 3.5 goals 33.0%
First half
First-half result (Jordan / draw / Argentina)7.6% / 31.0% / 61.5%
A goal in the first half74.0%
Two or more in the first half36.3%
Half-time then full-time
Argentina lead at half-time then Argentina win58.7%
Level at half-time then Argentina win21.0%
Level at half-time then draw7.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Jordan's side
Jordan −2.00.5%
Jordan −1.750.6%
Jordan −1.50.8%
Jordan −1.252.1%
Jordan −1.03.3%
Jordan −0.754.6%
Jordan −0.55.8%
Jordan −0.258.5%
Jordan draw no bet (0.0)11.2%
Jordan +0.2513.9%
Jordan +0.516.6%
Jordan +0.7522.4%
Jordan +1.028.3%
Jordan +1.540.0%
Jordan +2.051.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Jordan win17.13
Draw9.29
Argentina win1.20
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.52.24
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–2
16.8%
0–1
14.8%
0–3
13.8%
0–4
8.5%
1–2
7.2%
1–3
5.9%
Goal margin
Jordan wins by more than 1 goals1%
Argentina wins by more than 1 goals60%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 28/06 (GMT+7)
- Croatia vs Ghana04:00 · World Cup2–1
- Panama vs England04:00 · World Cup0–2
- Colombia vs Portugal06:30 · World Cup0–0
- DR Congo vs Uzbekistan06:30 · World Cup3–1
- Algeria vs Austria09:00 · World Cup3–3
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.