Match summary
Argentina vs Algeria (World Cup), 17/06/2026, finished 3-0: Argentina won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Argentina
69%
Draw
21%
Algeria
11%
Actual result: Argentina 3 – 0 Algeria · Argentina winJarvis gave this outcome: 69% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Argentina, negative favours Algeria) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Argentina - Algeria)+1.31
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Argentina / Algeria1.90 / 0.60
Both teams to score (yes / no)38.3% / 61.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.3%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Argentina / draw / Algeria)48.5% / 40.4% / 11.1%
A goal in the first half67.5%
Two or more in the first half31.0%
Half-time then full-time
Argentina lead at half-time then Argentina win44.7%
Level at half-time then Argentina win21.7%
Level at half-time then draw14.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Argentina's side
Argentina −2.031.6%
Argentina −1.7537.0%
Argentina −1.542.3%
Argentina −1.2548.9%
Argentina −1.055.5%
Argentina −0.7562.1%
Argentina −0.568.6%
Argentina −0.2573.8%
Argentina draw no bet (0.0)78.9%
Argentina +0.2584.1%
Argentina +0.589.2%
Argentina +0.7591.3%
Argentina +1.093.3%
Argentina +1.597.5%
Argentina +2.098.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Argentina win1.46
Draw4.86
Algeria win9.29
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–0
15.6%
2–0
14.9%
3–0
9.4%
1–1
9.3%
2–1
8.9%
0–0
8.2%
Goal margin
Argentina wins by more than 1 goals42%
Algeria wins by more than 1 goals3%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 17/06 (GMT+7)
- France vs Senegal02:00 · World Cup3–1
- Iraq vs Norway05:00 · World Cup1–4
- Austria vs Jordan11:00 · World Cup3–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.