Match summary
Ghana vs Panama (World Cup), 18/06/2026, finished 1-0: Ghana won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Ghana
43%
Draw
29%
Panama
29%
Actual result: Ghana 1 – 0 Panama · Ghana winJarvis gave this outcome: 43% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ghana, negative favours Panama) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Ghana - Panama)+0.29
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Ghana / Panama1.40 / 1.10
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.3% / 48.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.3%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Ghana / draw / Panama)31.8% / 45.0% / 23.2%
A goal in the first half66.7%
Two or more in the first half31.8%
Half-time then full-time
Ghana lead at half-time then Ghana win25.5%
Level at half-time then draw18.2%
Panama lead at half-time then Panama win16.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Ghana's side
Ghana −2.014.2%
Ghana −1.7517.5%
Ghana −1.520.7%
Ghana −1.2526.2%
Ghana −1.031.7%
Ghana −0.7537.1%
Ghana −0.542.6%
Ghana −0.2549.8%
Ghana draw no bet (0.0)56.9%
Ghana +0.2564.1%
Ghana +0.571.3%
Ghana +0.7575.5%
Ghana +1.079.8%
Ghana +1.588.4%
Ghana +2.092.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Ghana win2.35
Draw3.49
Panama win3.48
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–1
13.7%
1–0
10.5%
0–0
9.2%
2–1
8.8%
0–1
8.1%
2–0
8.0%
Goal margin
Ghana wins by more than 1 goals21%
Panama wins by more than 1 goals12%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 18/06 (GMT+7)
- Portugal vs DR Congo00:00 · World Cup1–1
- England vs Croatia03:00 · World Cup4–2
- Uzbekistan vs Colombia09:00 · World Cup1–3
- Czech Republic vs South Africa23:00 · World Cup1–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.