Match summary
Brazil vs Haiti (World Cup), 20/06/2026, finished 3-0: Brazil won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Brazil
87%
Draw
8%
Haiti
5%
Actual result: Brazil 3 – 0 Haiti · Brazil winJarvis gave this outcome: 87% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brazil, negative favours Haiti) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brazil - Haiti)+2.51
Expected total goals3.61
Expected goals Brazil / Haiti3.06 / 0.55
Both teams to score (yes / no)39.4% / 60.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.6%
Over 2.5 goals 69.9%
Over 3.5 goals 48.6%
First half
First-half result (Brazil / draw / Haiti)67.8% / 24.3% / 7.8%
A goal in the first half81.6%
Two or more in the first half46.9%
Half-time then full-time
Brazil lead at half-time then Brazil win65.2%
Level at half-time then Brazil win17.9%
Level at half-time then draw4.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brazil's side
Brazil −2.058.2%
Brazil −1.7563.6%
Brazil −1.569.0%
Brazil −1.2573.6%
Brazil −1.078.2%
Brazil −0.7582.8%
Brazil −0.587.4%
Brazil −0.2589.3%
Brazil draw no bet (0.0)91.2%
Brazil +0.2593.2%
Brazil +0.595.1%
Brazil +0.7596.1%
Brazil +1.097.2%
Brazil +1.599.2%
Brazil +2.099.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Brazil win1.14
Draw12.90
Haiti win20.52
Over 2.51.43
Under 2.53.32
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
3–0
12.9%
2–0
12.7%
4–0
9.9%
1–0
9.2%
3–1
7.1%
2–1
7.0%
Goal margin
Brazil wins by more than 1 goals69%
Haiti wins by more than 1 goals1%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 20/06 (GMT+7)
- United States vs Australia02:00 · World Cup2–0
- Scotland vs Morocco05:00 · World Cup0–1
- Turkey vs Paraguay10:00 · World Cup0–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.