Match summary
Brondby vs SonderjyskE (Danish Superliga), 18/08/2026, finished 3-2: Brondby won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Brondby
69%
Draw
19%
SonderjyskE
12%
Actual result: Brondby 3 – 2 SonderjyskE · Brondby winJarvis gave this outcome: 69% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brondby, negative favours SonderjyskE) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brondby - SonderjyskE)+1.41
Expected total goals3.10
Expected goals Brondby / SonderjyskE2.25 / 0.84
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.6% / 48.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.1%
Over 2.5 goals 59.8%
Over 3.5 goals 37.4%
First half
First-half result (Brondby / draw / SonderjyskE)50.3% / 36.8% / 12.9%
A goal in the first half74.5%
Two or more in the first half41.3%
Half-time then full-time
Brondby lead at half-time then Brondby win46.0%
Level at half-time then Brondby win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw11.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brondby's side
Brondby −2.035.5%
Brondby −1.7540.7%
Brondby −1.545.9%
Brondby −1.2551.6%
Brondby −1.057.3%
Brondby −0.7563.0%
Brondby −0.568.7%
Brondby −0.2573.5%
Brondby draw no bet (0.0)78.4%
Brondby +0.2583.3%
Brondby +0.588.1%
Brondby +0.7590.1%
Brondby +1.092.2%
Brondby +1.596.2%
Brondby +2.097.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Brondby win1.46
Draw5.14
SonderjyskE win8.41
Over 2.51.67
Under 2.52.49
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Brondby wins by more than 1 goals46%
SonderjyskE wins by more than 1 goals4%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 18/08 (GMT+7)
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.