FIFA World Cup
Canada vs Morocco prediction
Canada
0 – 3
Full-time
Morocco
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Canada
17%
Draw
29%
Morocco
55%
Actual result: Canada 0 – 3 Morocco · Morocco winJarvis gave this outcome: 55% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Canada, negative favours Morocco) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Canada - Morocco)-0.76
Expected total goals2.12
Expected goals Canada / Morocco0.68 / 1.44
Both teams to score (yes / no)38.4% / 61.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 63.4%
Over 2.5 goals 35.6%
Over 3.5 goals 16.5%
First half
First-half result (Canada / draw / Morocco)14.6% / 47.5% / 37.9%
A goal in the first half61.0%
Two or more in the first half25.3%
Half-time then full-time
Morocco ahead then Morocco win33.4%
level then draw20.1%
level then Morocco win20.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Canada
Canada give 2 trái (−2.0)2.8%
Canada give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)3.8%
Canada give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)4.7%
Canada give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)7.7%
Canada give 1 trái (−1.0)10.7%
Canada give 3/4 trái (−0.75)13.8%
Canada give nửa trái (−0.5)16.8%
Canada give 1/4 trái (−0.25)23.9%
Level ball (0.0)31.0%
Canada receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)38.2%
Canada receive nửa trái (+0.5)45.3%
Canada receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)51.9%
Canada receive 1 trái (+1.0)58.5%
Canada receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)71.8%
Canada receive 2 trái (+2.0)80.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Canada win5.96
Draw3.51
Morocco win1.83
Over 2.52.81
Under 2.51.55
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–1
16.5%
0–0
12.8%
1–1
12.5%
0–2
12.5%
1–2
8.5%
1–0
7.4%
Goal margin
Canada wins by more than 1 goals5%
Morocco wins by more than 1 goals28%
Corners
Expected total corners9.1
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards3.2
2.5+ cards in the match39%