North American Leagues Cup

CF America vs Austin FC prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

CF America vs Austin FC (North American Leagues Cup), 14/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave CF America 43%, the draw 31% and Austin FC 26%; the actual result had a 31% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

CF America

43%

Draw

31%

Austin FC

26%

Actual result: CF America 1 – 1 Austin FC · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 31%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours CF America, negative favours Austin FC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (CF America - Austin FC)+0.34

Expected total goals2.38

Expected goals CF America / Austin FC1.36 / 1.02

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.2% / 50.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 70.4%

Over 2.5 goals 42.6%

Over 3.5 goals 21.8%

First half

First-half result (CF America / draw / Austin FC)31.6% / 47.0% / 21.4%

A goal in the first half64.6%

Two or more in the first half30.3%

Half-time then full-time

CF America lead at half-time then CF America win25.9%

Level at half-time then draw19.9%

Level at half-time then CF America win16.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from CF America's side

CF America −2.014.4%

CF America −1.7517.8%

CF America −1.521.1%

CF America −1.2526.6%

CF America −1.032.1%

CF America −0.7537.6%

CF America −0.543.1%

CF America −0.2550.7%

CF America draw no bet (0.0)58.3%

CF America +0.2566.0%

CF America +0.573.6%

CF America +0.7577.6%

CF America +1.081.6%

CF America +1.589.6%

CF America +2.093.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

CF America win2.32

Draw3.28

Austin FC win3.79

Over 2.52.35

Under 2.51.74

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

CF America wins by more than 1 goals21%

Austin FC wins by more than 1 goals10%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 14/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.