UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Rangers vs Jagiellonia Bialystock prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Rangers vs Jagiellonia Bialystock (Europa League), 14/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Rangers 66%, the draw 20% and Jagiellonia Bialystock 14%; the actual result had a 20% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Rangers

66%

Draw

20%

Jagiellonia Bialystock

14%

Actual result: Rangers 1 – 1 Jagiellonia Bialystock · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 20%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Rangers, negative favours Jagiellonia Bialystock) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Rangers - Jagiellonia Bialystock)+1.27

Expected total goals3.06

Expected goals Rangers / Jagiellonia Bialystock2.16 / 0.90

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.6% / 47.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 81.2%

Over 2.5 goals 59.0%

Over 3.5 goals 36.6%

First half

First-half result (Rangers / draw / Jagiellonia Bialystock)48.6% / 36.7% / 14.7%

A goal in the first half74.5%

Two or more in the first half40.2%

Half-time then full-time

Rangers lead at half-time then Rangers win43.7%

Level at half-time then Rangers win19.5%

Level at half-time then draw11.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Rangers's side

Rangers −2.032.6%

Rangers −1.7537.6%

Rangers −1.542.6%

Rangers −1.2548.5%

Rangers −1.054.3%

Rangers −0.7560.2%

Rangers −0.566.1%

Rangers −0.2571.0%

Rangers draw no bet (0.0)76.0%

Rangers +0.2580.9%

Rangers +0.585.8%

Rangers +0.7588.2%

Rangers +1.090.6%

Rangers +1.595.4%

Rangers +2.097.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Rangers win1.51

Draw5.07

Jagiellonia Bialystock win7.06

Over 2.51.70

Under 2.52.44

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Rangers wins by more than 1 goals43%

Jagiellonia Bialystock wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 14/08 (GMT+7)

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun00:30 · Europa League3–2

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.