UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

FC Twente vs Ferencvaros prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

FC Twente vs Ferencvaros (Europa League), 24/07/2026, finished 1-2: Ferencvaros won. Before the match Jarvis gave FC Twente 64%, the draw 21% and Ferencvaros 15%; the actual result had a 15% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Next for Ferencvaros: Torreense (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

FC Twente

64%

Draw

21%

Ferencvaros

15%

Actual result: FC Twente 1 – 2 Ferencvaros · Ferencvaros winJarvis gave this outcome: 15%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Twente, negative favours Ferencvaros) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (FC Twente - Ferencvaros)+1.14

Expected total goals2.83

Expected goals FC Twente / Ferencvaros1.98 / 0.85

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.6% / 50.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 77.8%

Over 2.5 goals 53.8%

Over 3.5 goals 31.5%

First half

First-half result (FC Twente / draw / Ferencvaros)46.2% / 39.0% / 14.8%

A goal in the first half71.7%

Two or more in the first half36.7%

Half-time then full-time

FC Twente lead at half-time then FC Twente win41.3%

Level at half-time then FC Twente win19.8%

Level at half-time then draw13.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from FC Twente's side

FC Twente −2.029.4%

FC Twente −1.7534.3%

FC Twente −1.539.3%

FC Twente −1.2545.3%

FC Twente −1.051.4%

FC Twente −0.7557.5%

FC Twente −0.563.6%

FC Twente −0.2569.0%

FC Twente draw no bet (0.0)74.4%

FC Twente +0.2579.7%

FC Twente +0.585.1%

FC Twente +0.7587.7%

FC Twente +1.090.2%

FC Twente +1.595.3%

FC Twente +2.097.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

FC Twente win1.57

Draw4.65

Ferencvaros win6.72

Over 2.51.86

Under 2.52.16

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

FC Twente wins by more than 1 goals39%

Ferencvaros wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ferencvaros

vs TorreenseThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs AC Milan (away)Fri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 24/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
...
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	+4	6
7	Ferencvaros	2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	+2	6

See the full Europa League table