Italian Serie A

Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction

01:45, 17/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

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Frosinone meet Sassuolo in the Serie A, kick-off 01:45 on 17/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Frosinone are 9th (10 points from 6 games) and Sassuolo are 11th (8 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Frosinone a 37% chance to win, 27% for a draw and 36% for Sassuolo; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 3.1 goals in the match: both teams score with 63%, 3 or more goals with 60%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Frosinone
37%
Draw
27%
Sassuolo
36%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Frosinone, negative favours Sassuolo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Frosinone - Sassuolo)+0.04
Expected total goals3.08
Expected goals Frosinone / Sassuolo1.56 / 1.52
Both teams to score (yes / no)63.5% / 36.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.0%
Over 2.5 goals 59.5%
Over 3.5 goals 37.2%
First half
First-half result (Frosinone / draw / Sassuolo)29.4% / 42.2% / 28.4%
A goal in the first half73.2%
Two or more in the first half42.3%
Half-time then full-time
Frosinone lead at half-time then Frosinone win22.4%
Sassuolo lead at half-time then Sassuolo win21.4%
Level at half-time then draw16.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Frosinone's side
Frosinone −2.013.3%
Frosinone −1.7516.2%
Frosinone −1.519.1%
Frosinone −1.2523.6%
Frosinone −1.028.1%
Frosinone −0.7532.6%
Frosinone −0.537.1%
Frosinone −0.2543.9%
Frosinone draw no bet (0.0)50.8%
Frosinone +0.2557.6%
Frosinone +0.564.4%
Frosinone +0.7568.8%
Frosinone +1.073.2%
Frosinone +1.582.0%
Frosinone +2.087.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Frosinone win2.69
Draw3.66
Sassuolo win2.81
Over 2.51.68
Under 2.52.47

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Frosinone wins by more than 1 goals19%
Sassuolo wins by more than 1 goals18%
Corners
Expected total corners10.2
6.5+ corners in the match44%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Frosinone vs Sassuolo injury report and team news

Frosinone
  • D. BirligeaOut · Muscle Injury
  • F. GrillitschOut · Thigh Injury
Sassuolo
  • D. BolocaOut · Muscle Injury
  • J. IdzesOut · Muscle Injury
  • I. KoneOut · Broken Leg
  • Y. PazOut · Knee Injury
  • E. PieragnoloOut · Knee Injury
  • F. LeysenDoubtful · Injury

Frosinone vs Sassuolo team form

FrosinoneLWWDW
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Napoli (away)0–3
02/10/2026Benevento (home)2–1
20/09/2026Como (home)2–0
12/09/2026Genoa (away)1–1
06/09/2026Venezia (home)3–2
SassuoloDLWDD
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026AC Milan (home)1–1
18/09/2026Monza (away)1–2
13/09/2026Juventus (home)3–2
06/09/2026Bologna (away)2–2
02/09/2026Frosinone (home)1–1

Frosinone vs Sassuolo head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 9 meetings: Frosinone won 2, drew 3, lost 4. Frosinone scored 11 and conceded 13 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
02/09/2026Sassuolo1–1Frosinone
13/05/2025Sassuolo0–1Frosinone
14/12/2024Frosinone1–2Sassuolo
09/03/2024Sassuolo1–0Frosinone
17/09/2023Frosinone4–2Sassuolo
05/05/2019Sassuolo2–2Frosinone
16/12/2018Frosinone0–2Sassuolo
08/05/2016Frosinone0–1Sassuolo
06/01/2016Sassuolo2–2Frosinone

Match information

Referee
Matteo Marchetti
Venue
PSC Arena, Frosinone
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Atalanta (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs LecceFri 30/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Como (away)Sat 24/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs LazioWed 28/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale6+1016
2Lazio6+716
3AS Roma6+1114
...
8Napoli6+410
9Frosinone6+210
10Atalanta609
11Sassuolo608
12Torino6-27

See the full Serie A table