Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Beitar Jerusalem
47%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hapoel Ramat Gan, negative favours Beitar Jerusalem) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem)-0.23
Expected total goals11.77
Expected goals Hapoel Ramat Gan / Beitar Jerusalem5.77 / 6.00
Both teams to score (yes / no)99.4% / 0.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 100.0%
Over 2.5 goals 99.9%
Over 3.5 goals 99.7%
First half
First-half result (Hapoel Ramat Gan / draw / Beitar Jerusalem)38.7% / 19.2% / 42.1%
A goal in the first half98.8%
Two or more in the first half97.6%
Half-time then full-time
Beitar Jerusalem lead at half-time then Beitar Jerusalem win31.3%
Hapoel Ramat Gan lead at half-time then Hapoel Ramat Gan win27.4%
Level at half-time then Beitar Jerusalem win8.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hapoel Ramat Gan's side
Hapoel Ramat Gan −2.025.8%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −1.7528.1%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −1.530.5%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −1.2533.3%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −1.036.0%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −0.7538.8%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −0.541.5%
Hapoel Ramat Gan −0.2544.5%
Hapoel Ramat Gan draw no bet (0.0)47.4%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +0.2550.3%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +0.553.3%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +0.7556.1%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +1.059.0%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +1.564.7%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +2.069.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Hapoel Ramat Gan win2.41
Draw8.51
Beitar Jerusalem win2.14
Over 2.51.00
Under 2.51578.91
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Hapoel Ramat Gan wins by more than 1 goals27%
Beitar Jerusalem wins by more than 1 goals30%
