Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Inter
80%
Draw
14%
Udinese
6%
Actual result: Inter 5 – 3 Udinese · Inter winJarvis gave this outcome: 80% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Inter, negative favours Udinese) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Inter - Udinese)+2.07
Expected total goals3.39
Expected goals Inter / Udinese2.73 / 0.66
Both teams to score (yes / no)45.7% / 54.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 85.7%
Over 2.5 goals 65.9%
Over 3.5 goals 44.0%
First half
First-half result (Inter / draw / Udinese)60.1% / 31.6% / 8.3%
A goal in the first half77.7%
Two or more in the first half45.7%
Half-time then full-time
Inter lead at half-time then Inter win57.3%
Level at half-time then Inter win20.7%
Level at half-time then draw8.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Inter's side
Inter −2.049.4%
Inter −1.7554.9%
Inter −1.560.4%
Inter −1.2565.3%
Inter −1.070.3%
Inter −0.7575.3%
Inter −0.580.3%
Inter −0.2583.7%
Inter draw no bet (0.0)87.1%
Inter +0.2590.5%
Inter +0.594.0%
Inter +0.7595.1%
Inter +1.096.2%
Inter +1.598.4%
Inter +2.099.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Inter win1.25
Draw7.29
Udinese win16.59
Over 2.51.52
Under 2.52.93
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Inter wins by more than 1 goals60%
Udinese wins by more than 1 goals2%
Corners
Expected total corners9.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards2.1
2.5+ cards in the match36%