UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

LASK Linz vs Celtic prediction

5 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

LASK Linz vs Celtic (Champions League), 26/08/2026, finished 5-1: LASK Linz won. Before the match Jarvis gave LASK Linz 49%, the draw 24% and Celtic 27%; the actual result had a 49% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 6 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
LASK Linz
49%
Draw
24%
Celtic
27%
Actual result: LASK Linz 5 – 1 Celtic · LASK Linz winJarvis gave this outcome: 49% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours LASK Linz, negative favours Celtic) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (LASK Linz - Celtic)+0.51
Expected total goals3.31
Expected goals LASK Linz / Celtic1.91 / 1.40
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.0% / 35.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 85.0%
Over 2.5 goals 64.2%
Over 3.5 goals 42.1%
First half
First-half result (LASK Linz / draw / Celtic)37.4% / 38.6% / 24.0%
A goal in the first half76.4%
Two or more in the first half44.8%
Half-time then full-time
LASK Linz lead at half-time then LASK Linz win30.5%
Celtic lead at half-time then Celtic win16.0%
Level at half-time then LASK Linz win15.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from LASK Linz's side
LASK Linz −2.020.4%
LASK Linz −1.7524.2%
LASK Linz −1.527.9%
LASK Linz −1.2533.1%
LASK Linz −1.038.3%
LASK Linz −0.7543.5%
LASK Linz −0.548.6%
LASK Linz −0.2554.6%
LASK Linz draw no bet (0.0)60.6%
LASK Linz +0.2566.6%
LASK Linz +0.572.5%
LASK Linz +0.7576.3%
LASK Linz +1.080.0%
LASK Linz +1.587.5%
LASK Linz +2.091.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
LASK Linz win2.06
Draw4.18
Celtic win3.64
Over 2.51.56
Under 2.52.79

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
LASK Linz wins by more than 1 goals28%
Celtic wins by more than 1 goals12%
Corners
Expected total corners10.3
6.5+ corners in the match46%
Cards
Expected total cards2.3
2.5+ cards in the match40%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Sporting CP (away)Thu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Slovan BratislavaWed 04/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Celta VigoFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs BesiktasFri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 26/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain2+76
2Barcelona2+76
3Aston Villa2+76
...
32Napoli2-30
33LASK Linz2-40
34Lille2-40

See the full Champions League table