Spanish La Liga

Valencia vs Betis prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Valencia vs Betis (La Liga), 26/08/2026, finished 0-1: Betis won. Before the match Jarvis gave Valencia 34%, the draw 31% and Betis 35%; the actual result had a 35% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Valencia

34%

Draw

31%

Betis

35%

Actual result: Valencia 0 – 1 Betis · Betis winJarvis gave this outcome: 35% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Valencia, negative favours Betis) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Valencia - Betis)-0.03

Expected total goals2.32

Expected goals Valencia / Betis1.14 / 1.18

Both teams to score (yes / no)48.7% / 51.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 68.9%

Over 2.5 goals 40.9%

Over 3.5 goals 20.4%

First half

First-half result (Valencia / draw / Betis)25.6% / 47.8% / 26.6%

A goal in the first half63.6%

Two or more in the first half29.2%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw20.6%

Betis lead at half-time then Betis win20.5%

Valencia lead at half-time then Valencia win19.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Valencia's side

Valencia −2.09.5%

Valencia −1.7511.9%

Valencia −1.514.4%

Valencia −1.2519.2%

Valencia −1.024.0%

Valencia −0.7528.7%

Valencia −0.533.5%

Valencia −0.2541.4%

Valencia draw no bet (0.0)49.2%

Valencia +0.2557.1%

Valencia +0.564.9%

Valencia +0.7569.8%

Valencia +1.074.8%

Valencia +1.584.6%

Valencia +2.089.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Valencia win2.98

Draw3.19

Betis win2.85

Over 2.52.45

Under 2.51.69

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Valencia wins by more than 1 goals14%

Betis wins by more than 1 goals15%

Corners

Expected total corners9.4

6.5+ corners in the match46%

Cards

Expected total cards3.6

2.5+ cards in the match48%