UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Bodo Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Bodo Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen (Champions League), 26/08/2026, finished 3-0: Bodo Glimt won. Before the match Jarvis gave Bodo Glimt 64%, the draw 19% and NEC Nijmegen 17%; the actual result had a 64% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Bodo Glimt

64%

Draw

19%

NEC Nijmegen

17%

Actual result: Bodo Glimt 3 – 0 NEC Nijmegen · Bodo Glimt winJarvis gave this outcome: 64% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bodo Glimt, negative favours NEC Nijmegen) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Bodo Glimt - NEC Nijmegen)+1.25

Expected total goals3.79

Expected goals Bodo Glimt / NEC Nijmegen2.52 / 1.27

Both teams to score (yes / no)66.9% / 33.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 89.9%

Over 2.5 goals 73.0%

Over 3.5 goals 52.5%

First half

First-half result (Bodo Glimt / draw / NEC Nijmegen)48.2% / 34.4% / 17.3%

A goal in the first half80.6%

Two or more in the first half52.1%

Half-time then full-time

Bodo Glimt lead at half-time then Bodo Glimt win42.7%

Level at half-time then Bodo Glimt win18.0%

Level at half-time then draw10.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Bodo Glimt's side

Bodo Glimt −2.034.1%

Bodo Glimt −1.7538.7%

Bodo Glimt −1.543.4%

Bodo Glimt −1.2548.5%

Bodo Glimt −1.053.6%

Bodo Glimt −0.7558.7%

Bodo Glimt −0.563.8%

Bodo Glimt −0.2568.6%

Bodo Glimt draw no bet (0.0)73.5%

Bodo Glimt +0.2578.3%

Bodo Glimt +0.583.1%

Bodo Glimt +0.7585.6%

Bodo Glimt +1.088.1%

Bodo Glimt +1.593.1%

Bodo Glimt +2.095.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Bodo Glimt win1.57

Draw5.18

NEC Nijmegen win5.92

Over 2.51.37

Under 2.53.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Bodo Glimt wins by more than 1 goals43%

NEC Nijmegen wins by more than 1 goals7%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Bodo Glimt

vs Napoli (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LilleWed 04/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

NEC Nijmegen

vs Dinamo Zagreb (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Omonia NicosiaFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 26/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	2	+7	6
2	Barcelona	2	+7	6
3	Aston Villa	2	+7	6
...
23	Feyenoord Rotterdam	2	-3	3
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	-4	3
25	AS Roma	2	-1	1

See the full Champions League table