Swedish Superettan

Norrby IF vs Orebro prediction

Norrby IF

00:00, 11/08

GMT+7

Result not verified

Orebro

Match summary

Norrby IF vs Orebro (Swedish Superettan), 11/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Norrby IF

43%

Draw

28%

Orebro

29%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Norrby IF, negative favours Orebro) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Norrby IF - Orebro)+0.32

Expected total goals2.86

Expected goals Norrby IF / Orebro1.59 / 1.27

Both teams to score (yes / no)58.8% / 41.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.4%

Over 2.5 goals 54.5%

Over 3.5 goals 32.2%

First half

First-half result (Norrby IF / draw / Orebro)32.8% / 43.1% / 24.0%

A goal in the first half70.9%

Two or more in the first half38.4%

Half-time then full-time

Norrby IF lead at half-time then Norrby IF win26.4%

Orebro lead at half-time then Orebro win17.0%

Level at half-time then draw16.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Norrby IF's side

Norrby IF −2.016.1%

Norrby IF −1.7519.4%

Norrby IF −1.522.8%

Norrby IF −1.2527.9%

Norrby IF −1.033.0%

Norrby IF −0.7538.1%

Norrby IF −0.543.2%

Norrby IF −0.2550.2%

Norrby IF draw no bet (0.0)57.1%

Norrby IF +0.2564.0%

Norrby IF +0.570.9%

Norrby IF +0.7574.9%

Norrby IF +1.079.0%

Norrby IF +1.587.0%

Norrby IF +2.091.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Norrby IF win2.31

Draw3.61

Orebro win3.44

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.20

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Norrby IF wins by more than 1 goals23%

Orebro wins by more than 1 goals13%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 11/08 (GMT+7)

Bodo Glimt vs Union St Gilloise23:00 · Champions League3–2

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.