Orgryte vs Djurgardens (Swedish Allsvenskan), 21/07/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Orgryte 12%, the draw 17% and Djurgardens 71%; the actual result had a 17% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 3.6.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Orgryte
12%
Draw
17%
Djurgardens
71%
Actual result: Orgryte 0 – 0 Djurgardens · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 17%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Orgryte, negative favours Djurgardens) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Djurgardens lead at half-time then Djurgardens win48.6%
Level at half-time then Djurgardens win19.3%
Level at half-time then draw9.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Orgryte's side
Orgryte −2.02.6%
Orgryte −1.753.3%
Orgryte −1.54.1%
Orgryte −1.256.0%
Orgryte −1.08.0%
Orgryte −0.759.9%
Orgryte −0.511.9%
Orgryte −0.2516.2%
Orgryte draw no bet (0.0)20.5%
Orgryte +0.2524.8%
Orgryte +0.529.1%
Orgryte +0.7534.3%
Orgryte +1.039.6%
Orgryte +1.550.1%
Orgryte +2.060.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Orgryte win8.42
Draw5.82
Djurgardens win1.41
Over 2.51.45
Under 2.53.21
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
