UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

PFC Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens prediction

0 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

PFC Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens (Champions League), 19/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave PFC Levski Sofia 28%, the draw 32% and AEK Athens 40%; the actual result had a 32% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
PFC Levski Sofia
28%
Draw
32%
AEK Athens
40%
Actual result: PFC Levski Sofia 0 – 0 AEK Athens · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 32%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours PFC Levski Sofia, negative favours AEK Athens) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (PFC Levski Sofia - AEK Athens)-0.23
Expected total goals2.26
Expected goals PFC Levski Sofia / AEK Athens1.01 / 1.25
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.3% / 52.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 67.9%
Over 2.5 goals 39.3%
Over 3.5 goals 19.2%
First half
First-half result (PFC Levski Sofia / draw / AEK Athens)22.0% / 48.9% / 29.1%
A goal in the first half62.4%
Two or more in the first half28.4%
Half-time then full-time
AEK Athens lead at half-time then AEK Athens win23.6%
Level at half-time then draw21.7%
PFC Levski Sofia lead at half-time then PFC Levski Sofia win16.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from PFC Levski Sofia's side
PFC Levski Sofia −2.07.2%
PFC Levski Sofia −1.759.2%
PFC Levski Sofia −1.511.2%
PFC Levski Sofia −1.2515.4%
PFC Levski Sofia −1.019.6%
PFC Levski Sofia −0.7523.8%
PFC Levski Sofia −0.528.0%
PFC Levski Sofia −0.2536.1%
PFC Levski Sofia draw no bet (0.0)44.2%
PFC Levski Sofia +0.2552.3%
PFC Levski Sofia +0.560.4%
PFC Levski Sofia +0.7565.7%
PFC Levski Sofia +1.071.0%
PFC Levski Sofia +1.581.6%
PFC Levski Sofia +2.087.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
PFC Levski Sofia win3.58
Draw3.08
AEK Athens win2.53
Over 2.52.55
Under 2.51.65

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
PFC Levski Sofia wins by more than 1 goals11%
AEK Athens wins by more than 1 goals18%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Viktoria Plzen (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Jagiellonia BialystokFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Manchester City (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Real MadridThu 05/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 19/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain2+76
2Barcelona2+76
3Aston Villa2+76
...
19Lens2-13
20AEK Athens2-13
21RB Leipzig2-23

See the full Champions League table