Portuguese Primeira Liga

Porto vs Moreirense prediction

2 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Porto vs Moreirense (Portuguese Primeira Liga), 05/09/2026, finished 2-1: Porto won. Before the match Jarvis gave Porto 86%, the draw 10% and Moreirense 4%; the final result (Porto win) had an 86% chance. The score 2-1 had a 6.4% chance, the 5th most likely scoreline of the model; the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.
Full-time
Porto
86%
Draw
10%
Moreirense
4%
Probability trajectory · full match
Final result: Porto 2 – 1 Moreirense · Porto winJarvis gave this outcome: 86% ✓
Jarvis supercomputer
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Porto, negative favours Moreirense) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Porto win1.16
Draw10.17
Moreirense win27.24
Over 2.51.66
Under 2.52.51

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)
Lines shown from Porto's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
Both teams to score
First half
First-half result (Porto / draw / Moreirense)65.0% / 29.4% / 5.6%
A goal in the first half75.7%
Two or more in the first half40.4%
Half-time then full-time
Porto lead at half-time then Porto win63.1%
Level at half-time then Porto win20.9%
Level at half-time then draw6.9%

Next fixtures of both teams

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.