Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time

Rapid Vienna
63%

Grazer AK
14%
Actual result: Rapid Vienna 8 – 0 Grazer AK · Rapid Vienna winJarvis gave this outcome: 63% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Rapid Vienna, negative favours Grazer AK) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Rapid Vienna - Grazer AK)+1.12
Expected total goals2.77
Expected goals Rapid Vienna / Grazer AK1.94 / 0.83
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.3% / 50.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.4%
Over 2.5 goals 52.3%
Over 3.5 goals 30.1%
First half
First-half result (Rapid Vienna / draw / Grazer AK)45.1% / 40.9% / 14.1%
A goal in the first half70.2%
Two or more in the first half36.4%
Half-time then full-time
Rapid Vienna lead at half-time then Rapid Vienna win40.5%
Level at half-time then Rapid Vienna win20.2%
Level at half-time then draw14.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Rapid Vienna's side
Rapid Vienna −2.028.8%
Rapid Vienna −1.7533.7%
Rapid Vienna −1.538.6%
Rapid Vienna −1.2544.6%
Rapid Vienna −1.050.6%
Rapid Vienna −0.7556.5%
Rapid Vienna −0.562.5%
Rapid Vienna −0.2568.3%
Rapid Vienna draw no bet (0.0)74.2%
Rapid Vienna +0.2580.0%
Rapid Vienna +0.585.8%
Rapid Vienna +0.7588.2%
Rapid Vienna +1.090.6%
Rapid Vienna +1.595.4%
Rapid Vienna +2.097.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Rapid Vienna win1.60
Draw4.29
Grazer AK win7.05
Over 2.51.91
Under 2.52.10
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Rapid Vienna wins by more than 1 goals39%
Grazer AK wins by more than 1 goals5%