Match summary
Real Madrid vs Fiorentina (Elite Friendlies), 01/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Real Madrid 50%, the draw 25% and Fiorentina 25%; the actual result had a 25% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs SevillaMon 19/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 79% / 13% / 8%
- vs RB LeipzigThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
- vs ComoSun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 27% / 27% / 46%
- vs Internazionale (away)Sun 25/10, 18:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27