Match summary
Scotland vs Brazil (World Cup), 25/06/2026, finished 0-3: Brazil won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Scotland
12%
Draw
18%
Brazil
71%
Actual result: Scotland 0 – 3 Brazil · Brazil winJarvis gave this outcome: 71% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Scotland, negative favours Brazil) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Scotland - Brazil)-1.34
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Scotland / Brazil0.58 / 1.92
Both teams to score (yes / no)36.3% / 63.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.0%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Scotland / draw / Brazil)11.8% / 38.2% / 50.1%
A goal in the first half68.6%
Two or more in the first half30.0%
Half-time then full-time
Brazil lead at half-time then Brazil win45.9%
Level at half-time then Brazil win21.2%
Level at half-time then draw12.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Scotland's side
Scotland −2.01.4%
Scotland −1.751.9%
Scotland −1.52.4%
Scotland −1.254.7%
Scotland −1.07.0%
Scotland −0.759.3%
Scotland −0.511.6%
Scotland −0.2516.0%
Scotland draw no bet (0.0)20.4%
Scotland +0.2524.9%
Scotland +0.529.3%
Scotland +0.7536.2%
Scotland +1.043.1%
Scotland +1.556.9%
Scotland +2.067.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Scotland win8.63
Draw5.66
Brazil win1.41
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–1
17.0%
0–2
15.1%
0–3
9.7%
1–2
8.8%
1–1
7.9%
0–0
6.9%
Goal margin
Scotland wins by more than 1 goals2%
Brazil wins by more than 1 goals43%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 25/06 (GMT+7)
- Switzerland vs Canada02:00 · World Cup2–1
- Bosnia vs Qatar02:00 · World Cup3–1
- Morocco vs Haiti05:00 · World Cup4–2
- South Africa vs South Korea08:00 · World Cup1–0
- Czech Republic vs Mexico08:00 · World Cup0–3
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.