Swedish Allsvenskan

Sirius vs Brommapojkarna prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Sirius vs Brommapojkarna (Swedish Allsvenskan), 11/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Sirius 66%, the draw 20% and Brommapojkarna 14%; the actual result had a 20% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Sirius

66%

Draw

20%

Brommapojkarna

14%

Actual result: Sirius 2 – 2 Brommapojkarna · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 20%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sirius, negative favours Brommapojkarna) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Sirius - Brommapojkarna)+1.30

Expected total goals3.11

Expected goals Sirius / Brommapojkarna2.21 / 0.90

Both teams to score (yes / no)53.6% / 46.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 82.3%

Over 2.5 goals 60.2%

Over 3.5 goals 37.8%

First half

First-half result (Sirius / draw / Brommapojkarna)48.8% / 37.0% / 14.2%

A goal in the first half74.7%

Two or more in the first half41.5%

Half-time then full-time

Sirius lead at half-time then Sirius win44.1%

Level at half-time then Sirius win19.7%

Level at half-time then draw11.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Sirius's side

Sirius −2.033.5%

Sirius −1.7538.5%

Sirius −1.543.5%

Sirius −1.2549.3%

Sirius −1.055.0%

Sirius −0.7560.7%

Sirius −0.566.4%

Sirius −0.2571.5%

Sirius draw no bet (0.0)76.5%

Sirius +0.2581.5%

Sirius +0.586.5%

Sirius +0.7588.8%

Sirius +1.091.0%

Sirius +1.595.5%

Sirius +2.097.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Sirius win1.51

Draw4.99

Brommapojkarna win7.40

Over 2.51.66

Under 2.52.51

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Sirius wins by more than 1 goals44%

Brommapojkarna wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 11/08 (GMT+7)

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The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.