UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje prediction

1 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje (Champions League), 20/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Slovan Bratislava 51%, the draw 27% and NK Celje 22%; the actual result had a 27% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
51%
Draw
27%
NK Celje
22%
Actual result: Slovan Bratislava 1 – 1 NK Celje · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 27%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Slovan Bratislava, negative favours NK Celje) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Slovan Bratislava - NK Celje)+0.64
Expected total goals2.67
Expected goals Slovan Bratislava / NK Celje1.66 / 1.01
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.9% / 47.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.9%
Over 2.5 goals 50.0%
Over 3.5 goals 28.0%
First half
First-half result (Slovan Bratislava / draw / NK Celje)37.4% / 43.4% / 19.2%
A goal in the first half68.9%
Two or more in the first half35.0%
Half-time then full-time
Slovan Bratislava lead at half-time then Slovan Bratislava win31.8%
Level at half-time then Slovan Bratislava win17.8%
Level at half-time then draw16.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Slovan Bratislava's side
Slovan Bratislava −2.020.2%
Slovan Bratislava −1.7524.2%
Slovan Bratislava −1.528.2%
Slovan Bratislava −1.2534.0%
Slovan Bratislava −1.039.7%
Slovan Bratislava −0.7545.4%
Slovan Bratislava −0.551.2%
Slovan Bratislava −0.2557.9%
Slovan Bratislava draw no bet (0.0)64.6%
Slovan Bratislava +0.2571.4%
Slovan Bratislava +0.578.1%
Slovan Bratislava +0.7581.5%
Slovan Bratislava +1.084.9%
Slovan Bratislava +1.591.7%
Slovan Bratislava +2.094.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Slovan Bratislava win1.95
Draw3.71
NK Celje win4.57
Over 2.52.00
Under 2.52.00

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Slovan Bratislava wins by more than 1 goals28%
NK Celje wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs AS Roma (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs LASK Linz (away)Wed 04/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs RB SalzburgFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs SK Sturm Graz (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 20/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

See the full Champions League table