Match summary
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga (La Liga), 20/08/2026, finished 2-0: Atletico Madrid won. Before the match Jarvis gave Atletico Madrid 72%, the draw 18% and Malaga 10%; the actual result had a 72% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs VfB Stuttgart (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
- vs DeportivoSun 25/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Real SociedadSun 18/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Alaves (away)Sat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
Other matches on 20/08 (GMT+7)
- NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo Glimt02:00 · Champions League1–3
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FC Sabah02:00 · Champions League2–1
- Celtic vs Lask Linz02:00 · Champions League3–0
- Slovan Bratislava vs NK Celje02:00 · Champions League1–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
La Liga table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| ... | ||||
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |