UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FC Sabah prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FC Sabah (Champions League), 20/08/2026, finished 2-1: Hapoel Beer Sheva won. Before the match Jarvis gave Hapoel Beer Sheva 40%, the draw 30% and FC Sabah 30%; the actual result had a 40% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Next for FC Sabah: Borussia Dortmund (Tue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Hapoel Beer Sheva

40%

Draw

30%

FC Sabah

30%

Actual result: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 – 1 FC Sabah · Hapoel Beer Sheva winJarvis gave this outcome: 40% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hapoel Beer Sheva, negative favours FC Sabah) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Hapoel Beer Sheva - FC Sabah)+0.20

Expected total goals2.61

Expected goals Hapoel Beer Sheva / FC Sabah1.40 / 1.21

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.8% / 45.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.4%

Over 2.5 goals 48.4%

Over 3.5 goals 26.6%

First half

First-half result (Hapoel Beer Sheva / draw / FC Sabah)30.0% / 45.8% / 24.3%

A goal in the first half67.5%

Two or more in the first half34.5%

Half-time then full-time

Hapoel Beer Sheva lead at half-time then Hapoel Beer Sheva win23.8%

Level at half-time then draw19.0%

FC Sabah lead at half-time then FC Sabah win17.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Hapoel Beer Sheva's side

Hapoel Beer Sheva −2.013.5%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −1.7516.5%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −1.519.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −1.2524.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −1.029.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −0.7534.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −0.539.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva −0.2547.1%

Hapoel Beer Sheva draw no bet (0.0)54.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.2562.1%

Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.569.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.7573.9%

Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.078.1%

Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.586.5%

Hapoel Beer Sheva +2.091.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Hapoel Beer Sheva win2.53

Draw3.32

FC Sabah win3.30

Over 2.52.06

Under 2.51.94

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Hapoel Beer Sheva wins by more than 1 goals20%

FC Sabah wins by more than 1 goals13%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

FC Sabah

vs Borussia DortmundTue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs VIKING FK (away)Thu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 20/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	2	+7	6
2	Barcelona	2	+7	6
3	Aston Villa	2	+7	6
...
21	RB Leipzig	2	-2	3
22	Sabah FK	2	-2	3
23	Feyenoord Rotterdam	2	-3	3

See the full Champions League table