FIFA World Cup
Switzerland vs Algeria prediction
Switzerland
2 – 0
Full-time
Algeria
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Switzerland
46%
Draw
32%
Algeria
22%
Actual result: Switzerland 2 – 0 Algeria · Switzerland winJarvis gave this outcome: 46% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Switzerland, negative favours Algeria) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Switzerland - Algeria)+0.47
Expected total goals2.20
Expected goals Switzerland / Algeria1.34 / 0.87
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.6% / 55.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 goals 37.8%
Over 3.5 goals 18.2%
First half
First-half result (Switzerland / draw / Algeria)32.7% / 48.8% / 18.5%
A goal in the first half61.7%
Two or more in the first half27.4%
Half-time then full-time
Switzerland ahead then Switzerland win27.7%
level then draw21.5%
level then Switzerland win17.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Switzerland
Switzerland give 2 trái (−2.0)15.4%
Switzerland give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)19.0%
Switzerland give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)22.6%
Switzerland give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)28.4%
Switzerland give 1 trái (−1.0)34.2%
Switzerland give 3/4 trái (−0.75)40.0%
Switzerland give nửa trái (−0.5)45.9%
Switzerland give 1/4 trái (−0.25)53.8%
Level ball (0.0)61.7%
Switzerland receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)69.6%
Switzerland receive nửa trái (+0.5)77.5%
Switzerland receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)81.2%
Switzerland receive 1 trái (+1.0)84.8%
Switzerland receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)92.0%
Switzerland receive 2 trái (+2.0)95.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Switzerland win2.18
Draw3.16
Algeria win4.45
Over 2.52.64
Under 2.51.61
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–1
14.6%
1–0
12.9%
0–0
12.8%
2–0
9.9%
2–1
8.6%
0–1
7.7%
Goal margin
Switzerland wins by more than 1 goals23%
Algeria wins by more than 1 goals8%
Corners
Expected total corners9.2
6.5+ corners in the match44%
Cards
Expected total cards2.6
2.5+ cards in the match48%