Universitatea Craiova vs BC Maxline (Champions League), 16/07/2026, finished 1-0: Universitatea Craiova won. Before the match Jarvis gave Universitatea Craiova 75%, the draw 16% and BC Maxline 9%; the actual result had a 75% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.2.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Uni
Universitatea Craiova
75%
Draw
16%
BC
BC Maxline
9%
Actual result: Universitatea Craiova 1 – 0 BC Maxline · Universitatea Craiova winJarvis gave this outcome: 75% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Universitatea Craiova, negative favours BC Maxline) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Supremacy (Universitatea Craiova - BC Maxline)+1.69
Expected total goals3.19
Expected goals Universitatea Craiova / BC Maxline2.44 / 0.75
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.2% / 51.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals82.8%
Over 2.5 goals61.8%
Over 3.5 goals39.5%
First half
First-half result (Universitatea Craiova / draw / BC Maxline)55.2% / 33.6% / 11.2%
A goal in the first half76.1%
Two or more in the first half42.1%
Half-time then full-time
Universitatea Craiova lead at half-time then Universitatea Craiova win51.3%
Level at half-time then Universitatea Craiova win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw9.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Universitatea Craiova's side
Universitatea Craiova −2.041.3%
Universitatea Craiova −1.7546.7%
Universitatea Craiova −1.552.2%
Universitatea Craiova −1.2557.8%
Universitatea Craiova −1.063.4%
Universitatea Craiova −0.7569.0%
Universitatea Craiova −0.574.6%
Universitatea Craiova −0.2578.6%
Universitatea Craiova draw no bet (0.0)82.6%
Universitatea Craiova +0.2586.6%
Universitatea Craiova +0.590.6%
Universitatea Craiova +0.7592.3%
Universitatea Craiova +1.094.0%
Universitatea Craiova +1.597.4%
Universitatea Craiova +2.098.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Universitatea Craiova win1.34
Draw6.26
BC Maxline win10.62
Over 2.51.62
Under 2.52.62
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Universitatea Craiova wins by more than 1 goals52%
