Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Atalanta
63%
Draw
22%
Venezia
15%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Atalanta, negative favours Venezia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Atalanta - Venezia)+1.19
Expected total goals3.14
Expected goals Atalanta / Venezia2.16 / 0.97
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.3% / 43.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.2%
Over 2.5 goals 60.7%
Over 3.5 goals 38.3%
First half
First-half result (Atalanta / draw / Venezia)46.5% / 38.7% / 14.9%
A goal in the first half74.2%
Two or more in the first half42.6%
Half-time then full-time
Atalanta lead at half-time then Atalanta win41.7%
Level at half-time then Atalanta win19.6%
Level at half-time then draw13.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Atalanta's side
Atalanta −2.031.4%
Atalanta −1.7536.2%
Atalanta −1.541.1%
Atalanta −1.2546.7%
Atalanta −1.052.2%
Atalanta −0.7557.8%
Atalanta −0.563.3%
Atalanta −0.2568.8%
Atalanta draw no bet (0.0)74.3%
Atalanta +0.2579.8%
Atalanta +0.585.3%
Atalanta +0.7587.7%
Atalanta +1.090.0%
Atalanta +1.594.7%
Atalanta +2.096.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Atalanta win1.58
Draw4.55
Venezia win6.81
Over 2.51.65
Under 2.52.54
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Atalanta wins by more than 1 goals41%
Venezia wins by more than 1 goals5%
Corners
Expected total corners9.1
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards4.2
2.5+ cards in the match42%